AI probability bias is universal across 16 frontier models, OptimismBench finds, but runs in opposite directions: most AI models including GPT overestimate success probabilities, while Anthropic's ...

Fish congregate in clear and muddy water in the shallows of Morris Reservoir which remains dramatically low near the end of the rainy season when the waters of the San Gabriel River would normally ...

One of the biggest risks facing South Africa’s economy over the next year may not come from geopolitics, higher energy prices ...

Bitcoin trades at $65,209. Live Polymarket odds price a $55,000 dip at 48.5% but $100,000 at only 10%. Here is what the ...

Late first-round picks have become overvalued. Kirby Lee / Imagn Images It’s been six years since we measured the value of an NHL draft pick and a lot has changed in both the league landscape and our ...

Americans have shown little hesitancy about betting on the World Cup, the weather in Dallas and the next James Bond through the prediction markets. Yet, for many, politics is a step too far. Results ...

In the second of atwo-part series tracing new trends in illegal betting in Hong Kong amid excitement over the football World Cup, Connor Mycroft looks at the rise of prediction markets and the risks.

RKLB surged 422% in one year as Wall Street's top SpaceX proxy, but analysts' $98.50 consensus implies 33% downside from current prices. Peter Beck's acquisitions and an $816 million government ...

Are weekends rainier than the workweek? If the question sounds preposterous, consider this spring: Including the sodden Memorial Day weekend we just experienced, it rained five of the last six ...

During Tesla’s Q1 2026 earnings call today, CEO Elon Musk confirmed that unsupervised Full Self-Driving for consumer vehicles won’t arrive until Q4 2026 at the earliest — pushing the timeline yet ...

At the Morgan Stanley Tech, Media and Telecom conference in downtown San Francisco Wednesday, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said his company’s recent investments in OpenAI and Anthropic are likely to be its ...

EXCLUSIVE: Buzz about the next James Bond has always existed in its own reality. Everyone’s got an opinion about who should play the super spy, and — even if those views do not align with the tiny ...